{"_buckets": {"deposit": "be86b989-da25-4952-9cec-4a4fdc9e2462"}, "_deposit": {"id": "4082", "owners": [1], "pid": {"revision_id": 0, "type": "depid", "value": "4082"}, "status": "published"}, "_oai": {"id": "oai:nied-repo.bosai.go.jp:00004082", "sets": []}, "author_link": [], "item_10001_biblio_info_7": {"attribute_name": "書誌情報", "attribute_value_mlt": [{"bibliographicIssueDates": {"bibliographicIssueDate": "2017-04"}, "bibliographicIssueNumber": "704", "bibliographicPageEnd": "1420", "bibliographicPageStart": "1406", "bibliographicVolumeNumber": "143", "bibliographic_titles": [{"bibliographic_title": "Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society", "bibliographic_titleLang": "en"}]}]}, "item_10001_description_5": {"attribute_name": "抄録", "attribute_value_mlt": [{"subitem_description": "The development and verification of a forecast method for localized, meso-gamma-scale (2-20 km), extreme heavy rainfall (M gamma ExHR) is important, because it can cause urban flash flooding and inundation with accompanying damage and potential loss of life. Although previous studies have examined the predictability of precipitation at a very short range (\u003c= 1 h) using extrapolation-based nowcasts, they did not specifically focus on M gamma ExHR. In this study, we examine the predictability of 23 selected events of M gamma ExHR (1 h rainfall accumulation \u003e= 50 mm) that occurred during the warm season of 2014 in Japan using High-Resolution Precipitation Nowcasts (HRPNs) provided by the Japan Meteorological Agency, which are extrapolation-based nowcasts. Traditional grid-scale verification using the equitable threat score shows that the HRPNs usefully predict the heavy rainfall areas of \u003e= 20mmh-1 for at least 12min at the grid scale of 1 km. Neighbourhood verification using fractions skill scores shows that HRPNs usefully predict the areas of \u003e= 20 mm h(-1) up to 29 min by tolerating 11 km displacement errors. After 30min, a useful forecast cannot be obtained, even if the 11 km displacement errors are tolerated for the \u003e= 20 mm h(-1) areas. This result suggests that a numerical weather prediction (NWP) model, whose accuracy is useful after similar to 30 min, is necessary to seamlessly provide useful forecasts for heavy rainfall areas of \u003e= 20 mm h(-1) for M gamma ExHR with similar to 10 km displacement errors, by blending the extrapolation-based nowcast with NWP.", "subitem_description_language": "en", "subitem_description_type": "Other"}]}, "item_10001_publisher_8": {"attribute_name": "出版者", "attribute_value_mlt": [{"subitem_publisher": "Wiley-Blackwell", "subitem_publisher_language": "en"}]}, "item_10001_relation_14": {"attribute_name": "DOI", "attribute_value_mlt": [{"subitem_relation_type_id": {"subitem_relation_type_id_text": "10.1002/qj.3013"}}]}, "item_10001_source_id_9": {"attribute_name": "ISSN", "attribute_value_mlt": [{"subitem_source_identifier": "1477-870X", "subitem_source_identifier_type": "EISSN"}]}, "item_creator": {"attribute_name": "著者", "attribute_type": "creator", "attribute_value_mlt": [{"creatorNames": [{"creatorName": "Ryohei Kato", "creatorNameLang": "en"}]}, {"creatorNames": [{"creatorName": "Shingo Shimizu", "creatorNameLang": "en"}]}, {"creatorNames": [{"creatorName": "Ken-ichi Shimose", "creatorNameLang": "en"}]}, {"creatorNames": [{"creatorName": "Takeshi Maesaka", "creatorNameLang": "en"}]}, {"creatorNames": [{"creatorName": "Koyuru Iwanami", "creatorNameLang": "en"}]}, {"creatorNames": [{"creatorName": "Hisashi Nakagaki", "creatorNameLang": "en"}]}]}, "item_language": {"attribute_name": "言語", "attribute_value_mlt": [{"subitem_language": "eng"}]}, "item_title": "Predictability of meso-γ-scale, localized, extreme heavy rainfall during the warm season in Japan using high-resolution precipitation nowcasts", "item_titles": {"attribute_name": "タイトル", "attribute_value_mlt": [{"subitem_title": "Predictability of meso-γ-scale, localized, extreme heavy rainfall during the warm season in Japan using high-resolution precipitation nowcasts", "subitem_title_language": "en"}]}, "item_type_id": "40001", "owner": "1", "path": ["1670839190650"], "permalink_uri": "https://nied-repo.bosai.go.jp/records/4082", "pubdate": {"attribute_name": "PubDate", "attribute_value": "2023-03-30"}, "publish_date": "2023-03-30", "publish_status": "0", "recid": "4082", "relation": {}, "relation_version_is_last": true, "title": ["Predictability of meso-γ-scale, localized, extreme heavy rainfall during the warm season in Japan using high-resolution precipitation nowcasts"], "weko_shared_id": -1}