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  1. 防災科研関係論文

Methods for eruption prediction and hazard evaluation at Indonesian volcanoes

https://nied-repo.bosai.go.jp/records/5417
https://nied-repo.bosai.go.jp/records/5417
df18e030-c518-4029-bf1e-0a95e06a89e1
Item type researchmap(1)
公開日 2023-03-30
タイトル
言語 en
タイトル Methods for eruption prediction and hazard evaluation at Indonesian volcanoes
著者 Masato Iguchi

× Masato Iguchi

en Masato Iguchi

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Surono

× Surono

en Surono

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Takeshi Nishimura

× Takeshi Nishimura

en Takeshi Nishimura

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Muhamad Hendrasto

× Muhamad Hendrasto

en Muhamad Hendrasto

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Umar Rosadi

× Umar Rosadi

en Umar Rosadi

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Takahiro Ohkura

× Takahiro Ohkura

en Takahiro Ohkura

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Hetty Triastuty

× Hetty Triastuty

en Hetty Triastuty

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Ahmad Basuki

× Ahmad Basuki

en Ahmad Basuki

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Agoes Loeqman

× Agoes Loeqman

en Agoes Loeqman

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Sukir Maryanto

× Sukir Maryanto

en Sukir Maryanto

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Kazuhiro Ishihara

× Kazuhiro Ishihara

en Kazuhiro Ishihara

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Mitsuhiro Yoshimoto

× Mitsuhiro Yoshimoto

en Mitsuhiro Yoshimoto

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Setsuya Nakada

× Setsuya Nakada

en Setsuya Nakada

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Natsumi Hokanishi

× Natsumi Hokanishi

en Natsumi Hokanishi

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抄録
内容記述タイプ Other
内容記述 We report methods, based on geophysical observations and geological surveys, for the prediction of eruptions and the evaluation of the activity of 4 volcanoes in Indonesia. These are Semeru, Guntur, Kelud and Sinabung volcanoes. Minor increases in tilt were detected by borehole tiltmeters prior to eruptions at the Semeru volcano depending on the seismic amplitude of explosion earthquakes. The results show the possibility of prediction of the type and magnitude of eruption and the effectiveness of observation with a high signalto-noise ratio. The establishment of background data is important for evaluating volcanic activity in longterm prediction. Typical distributions of volcanic and local tectonic earthquakes were obtained around the Guntur volcano, where geodetic monitoring by continuous GPS observation is valuable. The cumulative volume of eruptive products is valuable for evaluating the potential for future eruption. The eruptive rate of the Kelud volcano is ca 2×106 m3/y (dense rock equivalent), but the volume of the 2007 eruption was only 2×107 m3, suggesting a still high potential for eruption. Based on geological surveys and dating, an eruption scenario is proposed for the activity of Mt. Sinabung, where phreatic eruptions occurred in 2010 after a historically long dormancy.
言語 en
書誌情報 en : Journal of Disaster Research

巻 7, 号 1, p. 26-36
ISSN
収録物識別子タイプ EISSN
収録物識別子 1883-8030
DOI
関連識別子 10.20965/jdr.2012.p0026
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