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Robust Asymmetry of the Future Arctic Polar Vortex Is Driven by Tropical Pacific Warming
https://nied-repo.bosai.go.jp/records/6047
https://nied-repo.bosai.go.jp/records/6047ca5c95a3-bf00-40c9-83a4-8f3f8fd838b6
Item type | researchmap(1) | |||||||||||
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公開日 | 2023-04-27 | |||||||||||
タイトル | ||||||||||||
言語 | en | |||||||||||
タイトル | Robust Asymmetry of the Future Arctic Polar Vortex Is Driven by Tropical Pacific Warming | |||||||||||
言語 | ||||||||||||
言語 | eng | |||||||||||
著者 |
Shinji Matsumura
× Shinji Matsumura
× Koji Yamazaki
× Takeshi Horinouchi
|
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抄録 | ||||||||||||
内容記述タイプ | Other | |||||||||||
内容記述 | The future stratosphere is globally dominated by a strong radiative cooling due to the increase in greenhouse gases. However, we find that over North America, the Arctic stratospheric cooling is suppressed or rather warming occurs, whereas over Eurasia stratospheric cooling is most pronounced, leading to an asymmetric polar vortex, based on 21st century climate model simulations. There are many causes that drive polar vortex variability, which make future projections highly uncertain. Our model simulations demonstrate that tropical warming induces the asymmetric polar vortex. The eastern equatorial Pacific warming causes eastward-shifted teleconnection with a deepened Aleutian low, which strengthens the polar vortex over Eurasia and weakens over North America by enhancing the vertical wave propagation into the stratosphere. The asymmetric polar vortex is projected to markedly develop in the 2030s, and so could affect winter surface climate over mid- to high-latitudes of Eurasia in the near future. | |||||||||||
言語 | en | |||||||||||
書誌情報 |
en : GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 巻 48, 号 11, 発行日 2021-06 |
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出版者 | ||||||||||||
言語 | en | |||||||||||
出版者 | AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION | |||||||||||
ISSN | ||||||||||||
収録物識別子タイプ | EISSN | |||||||||||
収録物識別子 | 1944-8007 | |||||||||||
DOI | ||||||||||||
関連識別子 | 10.1029/2021GL093440 |