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  1. 防災科研関係論文

Jet-Precipitation Relation and Future Change of the Mei-Yu-Baiu Rainband and Subtropical Jet in CMIP5 Coupled GCM Simulations

https://nied-repo.bosai.go.jp/records/6060
https://nied-repo.bosai.go.jp/records/6060
5716390a-183f-43aa-8e8d-5230415b6916
Item type researchmap(1)
公開日 2023-04-27
タイトル
言語 en
タイトル Jet-Precipitation Relation and Future Change of the Mei-Yu-Baiu Rainband and Subtropical Jet in CMIP5 Coupled GCM Simulations
言語
言語 eng
著者 Takeshi Horinouchi

× Takeshi Horinouchi

en Takeshi Horinouchi

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Shinji Matsumura

× Shinji Matsumura

en Shinji Matsumura

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Tomoaki Ose

× Tomoaki Ose

en Tomoaki Ose

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Yukari N. Takayabu

× Yukari N. Takayabu

en Yukari N. Takayabu

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抄録
内容記述タイプ Other
内容記述 Through extensive modeling efforts, it has been established that the ongoing global warming will increase the overall precipitation associated with the East Asian summer monsoon, but the future change of its spatial distribution has not reached a consensus. In this study, meridional shifts of the mei-yu-baiu rainband are studied in association with the subtropical jet by using outputs from atmosphere-ocean coupled climate models provided by CMIP5. The models reproduce observed associations between the jet and precipitation over wide time scales from synoptic to interannual. The same relation is found in intermodel differences in simulated climatology, so that the meridional locations of the jet and baiu precipitation are positively correlated. The multimodel-mean projection suggests that the both are shifted southward by the late twenty-first century. This shift is not inconsistent with the projected tropical expansion, not only because the change is local but also because the projected tropical expansion occurs mainly in the Southern Hemisphere. No significant future change in the continental mei-yu precipitation location is identified, which might be because the jet change is weak there. For comparison, the summertime Atlantic jet position, which shifts northward, is investigated briefly. This study suggests that the future change of the subtropical jet is an important aspect to investigate possible future changes of the baiu rainband, and it prompts further studies including the role of the ocean.
言語 en
書誌情報 en : JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

巻 32, 号 8, p. 2247-2259, 発行日 2019-04
出版者
言語 en
出版者 AMER METEOROLOGICAL SOC
ISSN
収録物識別子タイプ EISSN
収録物識別子 1520-0442
DOI
関連識別子 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0426.1
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