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  1. 防災科研関係論文

Nonergodic Ground-Motion Models for Subduction Zone and Crustal Earthquakes in Japan

https://nied-repo.bosai.go.jp/records/6572
https://nied-repo.bosai.go.jp/records/6572
aecdde1b-c9a7-4d0e-8b94-6f4fae3763e1
Item type researchmap(1)
公開日 2024-04-08
タイトル
言語 en
タイトル Nonergodic Ground-Motion Models for Subduction Zone and Crustal Earthquakes in Japan
著者 Chih-Hsuan Sung

× Chih-Hsuan Sung

en Chih-Hsuan Sung

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Hiroe Miyake

× Hiroe Miyake

en Hiroe Miyake

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Norman Abrahamson

× Norman Abrahamson

en Norman Abrahamson

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Nobuyuki Morikawa

× Nobuyuki Morikawa

en Nobuyuki Morikawa

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抄録
内容記述タイプ Other
内容記述 ABSTRACT

We investigate the nonergodic behavior of ground motions from subduction zone earthquakes and crustal earthquakes in Japan using the National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Resilience strong-motion flatfile together with various reference ergodic ground-motion models (GMMs). For the nonergodic path effects, our nonergodic GMM has two path effects terms: a cell-specific linear-distance scaling, denoted as δP2PQ, that mimics the effects of a 3D Q structure, and a source- and site-specific term related to the effects of the 3D velocity structure, denoted δP2PV. The resulting model provides spatially varying nonergodic source, site, and path terms. The GMM smoothly interpolates and extrapolates the nonergodic terms in space so that the GMM can be applied to any combination of source and site locations in the region. In regions where data are sparse, the median nonergodic terms will approach zero but with large epistemic uncertainty. Over the period range of 0–10 s, the ranges of the standard deviations of the nonergodic source, path, and site terms are 0.2–0.65, 0.25–0.40, and 0.15–0.40 natural log units, respectively. The fully nonergodic models lead to a 40%–55% decrease in the aleatory standard deviation compared to the reference ergodic GMMs. This large reduction in the aleatory standard deviation combined with the change in the median given by the nonergodic terms can exert a significant impact on the computed seismic hazard for the Japan region.
言語 en
書誌情報 en : Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America

発行日 2024-02-16
出版者
言語 en
出版者 Seismological Society of America (SSA)
ISSN
収録物識別子タイプ EISSN
収録物識別子 1943-3573
DOI
関連識別子 10.1785/0120230258
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