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  1. 防災科研関係論文

Verification of a Two-Stage Slope Condition Estimation Method Using Real-Time Monitoring Records of a Rainfall-Induced Landslide

https://nied-repo.bosai.go.jp/records/7436
https://nied-repo.bosai.go.jp/records/7436
c6408400-309b-443e-8cf6-260dc17c11b3
Item type researchmap(1)
公開日 2026-04-20
タイトル
言語 ja
タイトル Verification of a Two-Stage Slope Condition Estimation Method Using Real-Time Monitoring Records of a Rainfall-Induced Landslide
タイトル
言語 en
タイトル Verification of a Two-Stage Slope Condition Estimation Method Using Real-Time Monitoring Records of a Rainfall-Induced Landslide
言語
言語 eng
著者 Ishizawa Tomohiro

× Ishizawa Tomohiro

ja Ishizawa Tomohiro

en Ishizawa Tomohiro

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Danjo Toru

× Danjo Toru

ja Danjo Toru

en Danjo Toru

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抄録
内容記述タイプ Other
内容記述 Shallow landslides caused by heavy rainfall pose significant hazards in mountainous Japan, necessitating improved early warning methodologies. Despite technological advances, the quantitative understanding of failure mechanisms based on comprehensive field observations remains limited. This study presents a multi-parameter monitoring system to detect precursory phenomena and proposes a two-stage estimation methodology based on a shallow landslide triggered by Typhoon Hagibis in 2019. The system combined rainfall gauges, inclinometers, soil moisture sensors, and tensiometers with 10-minute recording intervals. Analysis revealed relationships between groundwater level rise and displacement development, with initial movement occurring at critical groundwater thresholds and a two-phase deformation process corresponding to soil stratification. The proposed approach enables continuous monitoring during normal conditions and quantitative evaluation before failure. The first stage analyzes historical data to estimate instability progression based on hydraulic threshold monitoring, while the second stage applies the inverse velocity method to estimate failure time with excellent statistical reliability (<i>R</i><sup>2</sup>>0.9) and ±15-minute accuracy using post-acceleration data. This methodology provides a framework for real-time monitoring, demonstrating that shallow landslides develop through temporally staged deformation processes triggered by groundwater fluctuations.
言語 en
書誌情報 ja : Journal of Disaster Research
en : Journal of Disaster Research

巻 20, 号 5, p. 673-684, 発行日 2025-10-01
出版者
言語 en
出版者 Fuji Technology Press Ltd.
ISSN
収録物識別子タイプ EISSN
収録物識別子 1883-8030
DOI
関連識別子 10.20965/jdr.2025.p0673
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