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  1. 防災科研関係論文

A Systematic Comparison of Statistical and Machine-Learning Models for Mapping Landslide Susceptibility: Evidence from the 2018 Rainfall-Induced Landslides in Hiroshima

https://nied-repo.bosai.go.jp/records/7590
https://nied-repo.bosai.go.jp/records/7590
ee949afb-5078-4038-b68c-d2476471742e
Item type researchmap(1)
公開日 2026-07-27
タイトル
言語 en
タイトル A Systematic Comparison of Statistical and Machine-Learning Models for Mapping Landslide Susceptibility: Evidence from the 2018 Rainfall-Induced Landslides in Hiroshima
著者 Kumari Kanchana Mallika Achchillage

× Kumari Kanchana Mallika Achchillage

en Kumari Kanchana Mallika Achchillage

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Tsuyoshi Wakatsuki

× Tsuyoshi Wakatsuki

en Tsuyoshi Wakatsuki

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Chiaki T. Oguchi

× Chiaki T. Oguchi

en Chiaki T. Oguchi

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Masahiko Osada

× Masahiko Osada

en Masahiko Osada

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抄録
内容記述タイプ Other
内容記述 Landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) is an essential tool for hazard assessment and land-use planning in landslide-prone areas. This study compares three statistical models—Frequency Ratio (FR), Weight of Evidence (WoE), and Logistic Regression (LR)—with six machine-learning algorithms: Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Artificial Neural Network (ANN), k-Nearest Neighbor (KNN), and Decision Tree (DT), for regional landslide susceptibility assessment in Hiroshima Prefecture, Japan. A balanced dataset comprising 1936 landslide and 1936 non-landslide samples was developed from the 2018 rainfall-induced landslide inventory, utilizing seven conditioning factors: slope angle, profile curvature, aspect, elevation, lithology, soil water index, and 24 h cumulative rainfall. Model performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score. Among the statistical models, WoE exhibited the highest performance, while SVM provided the most balanced results among the machine-learning models. Both modeling approaches consistently identified lithology and slope angle as the primary controls on landslide occurrence. Independent validation demonstrated comparable predictive performance for both models; however, spatial validation showed that WoE assigned 96.72% of observed landslides to the High and Very High susceptibility classes, compared to 72.54% for SVM. These findings underscore the importance of integrating conventional classification metrics with spatial validation to enhance the evaluation and interpretation of landslide susceptibility models for regional hazard assessment.
言語 en
書誌情報 en : GeoHazards

巻 7, 号 3, p. 87-87, 発行日 2026-07-18
出版者
言語 en
出版者 MDPI AG
ISSN
収録物識別子タイプ EISSN
収録物識別子 2624-795X
DOI
関連識別子 10.3390/geohazards7030087
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